Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.115353 2.420244 2.754071 3.146793 3.596313 4.094971 4.690406
2024-12-15 1.639415 2.049738 2.540346 3.170610 3.959670 4.916107 6.165493
2024-12-22 1.372416 1.824930 2.400098 3.185703 4.232690 5.582821 7.461021
2024-12-29 1.191726 1.666348 2.300491 3.211185 4.488630 6.221717 8.760551
2025-01-05 1.026291 1.498616 2.157466 3.145551 4.594324 6.648172 9.794886
2025-01-12 0.893321 1.355902 2.026449 3.071799 4.666487 7.017934 10.768416
2025-01-19 0.779015 1.224754 1.893887 2.974509 4.683648 7.296003 11.618556
2025-01-26 0.750626 1.219777 1.947583 3.162638 5.150878 8.294373 13.679185
2025-02-02 0.724545 1.214361 1.997947 3.347450 5.627209 9.347787 15.931940
2025-02-09 0.691189 1.192602 2.018258 3.482442 6.031292 10.317230 18.138273
2025-02-16 0.646952 1.147275 1.993903 3.537338 6.301419 11.082454 20.064064
2025-02-23 0.588167 1.070346 1.907535 3.474135 6.355918 11.475548 21.361398
2025-03-02 0.543877 1.015900 1.857014 3.473012 6.527285 12.101967 23.170327
2025-03-09 0.508393 0.974038 1.825028 3.502563 6.757999 12.858562 25.304783
2025-03-16 0.474903 0.932303 1.788744 3.519205 6.963655 13.584070 27.448772
2025-03-23 0.446195 0.896760 1.760371 3.547391 7.192681 14.372812 29.794920
2025-03-30 0.408655 0.839942 1.685282 3.474796 7.211769 14.747016 31.328816
2025-04-06 0.373973 0.785486 1.609666 3.393224 7.203168 15.061718 32.765487
2025-04-13 0.340110 0.729446 1.525626 3.285623 7.128514 15.230680 33.902348
2025-04-20 0.339393 0.743477 1.587434 3.493695 7.749454 16.923840 38.559417
2025-04-27 0.337719 0.755195 1.645203 3.698113 8.381525 18.698974 43.583264
2025-05-04 0.330950 0.754944 1.676981 3.847434 8.903908 20.279613 48.321028
2025-05-11 0.317320 0.737885 1.670153 3.908161 9.228624 21.443518 52.194859